L’École des cotes

Cuiabá v Londrina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-25 23:30 UTC

Score final : Cuiabá 2–2 Londrina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cuiabá (Local)

Prévision 53.16%1.88cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.11%53.09%52.94%54.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.761.751.8461.73%56.93%57.14%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Londrina (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.18%5.82cote équitable
EV +11.16%
Avantage +1.72%
Kelly +2.04%
Croissance +0.228%

avec la cote maximale 6.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.73%17.13%17.27%20.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.355.125.006.4722.99%19.51%20.00%15.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.66%3.37cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.641%
Kelly -0.919%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.20%29.77%29.80%31.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.063.053.3036.36%32.64%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.16%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.82%EV +11.16%E +1.72%K +2.04%G +0.228%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.02%EV -8.34%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 23:10
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.86%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV +9.96%E +1.56%K +1.84%G +0.184%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.86%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV +9.96%E +1.56%K +1.84%G +0.184%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 23:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.59%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +3.08%E +0.514%K +0.617%G +0.019%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 23:10
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.48%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +3.08%E +0.514%K +0.617%G +0.019%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-25 23:09
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.51%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.62%EV +2.22%E +0.374%K +0.449%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-25 23:10
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.31%EV -9.10%E -5.32%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV +1.36%E +0.231%K +0.279%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -1.21%E -0.211%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 23:10
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.84%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-25 22:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.75%EV -11.23%E -6.72%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-25 23:00
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.36%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -7.23%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -9.83%E -3.23%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-25 23:10
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.04%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.32%EV -7.57%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.64%EV -9.83%E -3.23%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-25 23:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.94%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-25 22:49
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.94%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-25 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.19%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.80%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 22:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -2.11%E -0.641%K -0.919%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.86%EV -7.51%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-25 22:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-25 22:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-25 23:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-25 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-25 23:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-25 23:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-25 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.27%EV -13.89%E -8.57%K -22.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -18.43%E -6.70%K -10.53%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-25 23:00
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.62%EV -2.19%E -1.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 22:50
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.70%EV -8.04%E -4.65%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -20.97%E -4.56%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-25 22:59
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -3.79%E -2.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -22.69%E -5.04%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-25 22:50
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -22.69%E -5.04%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-25 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.19%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%EV -24.41%E -5.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-25 22:50
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 50.34%EV -6.44%E -3.66%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -24.41%E -5.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-25 22:50
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-25 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-25 22:50
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-25 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-06-25 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-06-25 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-06-25 23:20
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-06-25 23:20
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-06-25 23:20