A Escola das Odds

Cuiabá v Londrina

Início: 2026-06-25 23:30 UTC

Final: Cuiabá 2–2 Londrina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cuiabá (Local)

Previsão 53.16%1.88odd justa
EV -2.19%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.11%53.09%52.94%54.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.761.751.8461.73%56.93%57.14%54.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Londrina (Visitante)

Previsão 17.18%5.82odd justa
EV +11.16%
Vantagem +1.72%
Kelly +2.04%
Crescimento +0.228%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.73%17.13%17.27%20.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.355.125.006.4722.99%19.51%20.00%15.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.66%3.37odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -0.641%
Kelly -0.919%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.20%29.77%29.80%31.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.063.053.3036.36%32.64%32.79%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.16%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.47I 15.46%NM 14.82%EV +11.16%E +1.72%K +2.04%G +0.228%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.02%EV -8.34%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 23:10
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.86%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV +9.96%E +1.56%K +1.84%G +0.184%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.86%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV +9.96%E +1.56%K +1.84%G +0.184%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-25 23:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.59%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV +3.08%E +0.514%K +0.617%G +0.019%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 23:10
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.48%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +3.08%E +0.514%K +0.617%G +0.019%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-25 23:09
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.51%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.62%EV +2.22%E +0.374%K +0.449%G +0.010%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-25 23:10
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.31%EV -9.10%E -5.32%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.74%EV +1.36%E +0.231%K +0.279%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:59
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -1.21%E -0.211%K -0.255%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 23:10
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.84%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-25 22:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.75%EV -11.23%E -6.72%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -5.51%E -1.00%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-25 23:00
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.36%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -7.23%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.48%EV -9.83%E -3.23%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-25 23:10
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.04%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.32%EV -7.57%E -1.41%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.64%EV -9.83%E -3.23%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-25 23:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.94%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-25 22:49
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.94%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-25 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.19%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.80%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 22:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -2.11%E -0.641%K -0.919%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.86%EV -7.51%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-25 22:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-25 22:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-25 23:10
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-25 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-25 23:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-25 23:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-25 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.27%EV -13.89%E -8.57%K -22.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.94%EV -14.10%E -2.82%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.79%EV -18.43%E -6.70%K -10.53%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-25 23:00
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.62%EV -2.19%E -1.19%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 22:50
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -19.25%E -4.10%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-25 22:50
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.70%EV -8.04%E -4.65%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -20.97%E -4.56%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.05%E -2.60%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-25 22:59
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.11%EV -3.79%E -2.09%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -22.69%E -5.04%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-25 22:50
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -22.69%E -5.04%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-25 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.19%EV -5.91%E -3.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%EV -24.41%E -5.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-25 22:50
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 50.34%EV -6.44%E -3.66%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.13%EV -24.41%E -5.55%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-25 22:50
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-25 22:49
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-25 22:50
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 50.11%EV -6.98%E -3.99%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.16%EV -25.26%E -5.81%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.73%EV -12.50%E -4.24%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-25 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.23%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.24%0.6%2026-06-25 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-06-25 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-06-25 23:20
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-06-25 23:20
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-06-25 23:20