Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cuiabá v Fortaleza

2026-08-09 21:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

38%

31%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cuiabá (Local)

Prediction 37.56%2.66fair odd

EV -7.24%

Edge -2.93%

Kelly -4.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.15%37.66%37.58%38.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.382.432.452.4742.02%41.18%40.82%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fortaleza (Visit)

Prediction 30.77%3.25fair odd

EV -3.07%

Edge -0.973%

Kelly -1.43%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.36%30.69%30.48%31.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.802.983.003.1535.71%33.51%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.67%3.16fair odd

EV -3.40%

Edge -1.12%

Kelly -1.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.66%31.64%31.94%32.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.802.882.903.0535.71%34.67%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.47I 40.49%NM 37.69%EV -7.24%E -2.93%K -4.92%G +0.000%	3.07I 32.57%NM 30.32%EV -5.53%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%	2.91I 34.36%NM 31.99%EV -7.84%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-29 15:25
SportsBet	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.68%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-29 13:50
Marathon Bet	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.80%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.14%E -2.01%K -3.00%G +0.000%	2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -7.84%E -2.69%K -4.10%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-29 15:25
FanDuel	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -10.76%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-29 13:55
888sport	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.68%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-29 14:15
William Hill	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.68%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-29 14:15
Mr Green (SE)	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.68%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-29 14:14
888sport (SE)	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.68%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-29 14:15
Betsson	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -3.07%E -0.973%K -1.43%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-29 13:45
NordicBet	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -3.07%E -0.973%K -1.43%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-29 13:49
LeoVegas	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.76%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-07-29 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -11.37%E -3.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-07-29 13:55
Paddy Power	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -11.37%E -3.95%K -6.05%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-07-29 13:56
BoyleSports	2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.69%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -13.84%E -4.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-07-29 13:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.