L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Cuiabá v Fortaleza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 21:00 UTC

Score final : Cuiabá 1–1 Fortaleza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cuiabá (Local)

Prévision 34.49%2.90cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.472%
Kelly -0.725%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.01%34.53%34.59%36.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.432.652.622.8641.15%37.73%38.17%34.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fortaleza (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.56%3.07cote équitable
EV +0.942%
Avantage +0.304%
Kelly +0.449%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.07%32.50%32.39%34.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.882.883.1038.17%34.72%34.72%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.94%3.04cote équitable
EV -4.46%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -2.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.87%32.98%33.02%34.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.802.9038.46%36.14%35.71%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cuiabá (Local) : 34.49% ; Fortaleza (Visiteur) : 32.56% ; Match nul : 32.94%. Pour Fortaleza (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.07. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +0.942%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:25
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:25
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:24
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:25
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -2.31%E -0.771%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 20:30
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -2.31%E -0.771%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.05%E -4.09%K -6.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 20:25
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.50%EV -3.76%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.30%EV -2.97%E -0.995%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.02%EV -14.46%E -5.83%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -3.94%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -12.70%E -4.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 20:25
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.02%EV -14.46%E -5.83%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -3.94%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -12.70%E -4.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 20:25
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -15.49%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -3.94%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -13.36%E -5.08%K -8.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 20:24
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 20:39
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 20:39
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 20:45
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.07%EV -16.18%E -6.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.22%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.71%EV -14.34%E -5.52%K -8.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 20:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.07%EV -16.18%E -6.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.22%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.71%EV -14.34%E -5.52%K -8.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 20:24
BetUS🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01%EV -1.35%E -0.472%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.21%EV -9.07%E -3.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01%EV -1.35%E -0.472%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.21%EV -9.07%E -3.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01%EV -1.35%E -0.472%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.21%EV -9.07%E -3.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.21%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.59%EV -9.07%E -3.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 20:50
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 20:53
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -4.11%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -6.87%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -8.41%E -3.03%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 20:30
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 20:55
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 20:45
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -13.36%E -5.08%K -8.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 20:45
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -13.68%E -5.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 20:40
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.11%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -9.48%E -3.41%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -7.10%E -2.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.11%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -9.48%E -3.41%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -7.10%E -2.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 20:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 20:35
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 20:25
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 20:50
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 20:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 20:24
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -12.08%E -4.48%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 20:29
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -12.08%E -4.48%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 20:45
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -14.69%E -5.61%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 20:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.84%0.5%2026-08-09 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%0.8%2026-08-09 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%0.8%2026-08-09 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%1.0%2026-08-09 20:55
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%1.5%2026-08-09 20:50