StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cuiabá v Fortaleza

Matchstart: 2026-08-09 21:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Cuiabá 1–1 Fortaleza

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cuiabá (Hemma)

Prognos 34.49%2.90rättvist odds
EV -1.35%
Fördel -0.472%
Kelly -0.725%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.86

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.01%34.53%34.59%36.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.432.652.622.8641.15%37.73%38.17%34.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fortaleza (Borta)

Prognos 32.56%3.07rättvist odds
EV +0.942%
Fördel +0.304%
Kelly +0.449%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.07%32.50%32.39%34.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.622.882.883.1038.17%34.72%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 32.94%3.04rättvist odds
EV -4.46%
Fördel -1.54%
Kelly -2.35%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.87%32.98%33.02%34.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.602.772.802.9038.46%36.14%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cuiabá (Hemma): 34.49%; Fortaleza (Borta): 32.56%; Oavgjort: 32.94%. För Fortaleza (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.07. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.942%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:25
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:25
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:24
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV +0.942%E +0.304%K +0.449%G +0.004%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:25
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -2.31%E -0.771%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 20:30
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -2.31%E -0.771%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.05%E -4.09%K -6.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 20:25
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.50%EV -3.76%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.30%EV -2.97%E -0.995%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.02%EV -14.46%E -5.83%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -3.94%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -12.70%E -4.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 20:25
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.02%EV -14.46%E -5.83%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -3.94%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.71%EV -12.70%E -4.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 20:25
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -15.49%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.07%EV -3.94%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.73%EV -13.36%E -5.08%K -8.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 20:24
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 20:39
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 20:39
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 20:45
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -6.11%E -2.14%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.07%EV -16.18%E -6.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.22%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.71%EV -14.34%E -5.52%K -8.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 20:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.07%EV -16.18%E -6.66%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.22%EV -5.57%E -1.92%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.71%EV -14.34%E -5.52%K -8.96%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 20:24
BetUS🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01%EV -1.35%E -0.472%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.21%EV -9.07%E -3.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01%EV -1.35%E -0.472%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.21%EV -9.07%E -3.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.01%EV -1.35%E -0.472%K -0.725%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.78%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.21%EV -9.07%E -3.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.21%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.59%EV -9.07%E -3.29%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 20:50
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -6.22%E -2.16%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 20:53
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -4.11%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -6.87%E -2.40%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -8.41%E -3.03%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.20%E -2.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 20:30
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -4.46%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 20:55
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 20:45
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -13.36%E -5.08%K -8.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 20:45
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.83%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -13.68%E -5.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 20:40
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.11%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -9.48%E -3.41%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -7.10%E -2.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -4.11%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.49%EV -9.48%E -3.41%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -7.10%E -2.52%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 20:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 20:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 20:35
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -5.14%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 20:25
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 20:50
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 20:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.77%E -5.51%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.45%E -3.80%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -9.40%E -3.42%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 20:24
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -6.87%E -2.54%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -12.08%E -4.48%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 20:29
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -12.08%E -4.48%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 20:45
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -9.63%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -14.69%E -5.61%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -7.75%E -2.77%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 20:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.84%0.5%2026-08-09 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%0.8%2026-08-09 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%0.8%2026-08-09 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%1.0%2026-08-09 20:55
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%1.5%2026-08-09 20:50