Language:English
Cuiabá v Botafogo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cuiabá (Local)
Prediction 48.68%2.05fair odd
EV -6.05%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.80%48.69%50.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.881.9355.56%53.44%53.19%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botafogo (Visit)
Prediction 20.66%4.84fair odd
EV +3.73%
Edge +0.742%
Kelly +0.927%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 5.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.48%20.56%20.65%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.524.505.0225.00%22.11%22.22%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.66%3.26fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.45%30.64%30.66%31.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.29%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cuiabá (Local): 48.68%; Botafogo (Visit): 20.66%; Draw: 30.66%. For Botafogo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -6.05%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.16%EV +3.73%E +0.742%K +0.927%G +0.035% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.80%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV +3.31%E +0.663%K +0.828%G +0.027% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV +3.31%E +0.663%K +0.828%G +0.027% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -0.819%E -0.171%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -0.819%E -0.171%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -3.92%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.01%EV -8.34%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.95%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.95%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.83%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -11.40%E -6.26%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.18%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.08%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 21:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.18%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 21:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.59%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-22 21:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -11.15%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%EV -11.15%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -12.18%E -2.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -17.35%E -4.34%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -14.16%E -5.06%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.95% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.47% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |