La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cuiabá v Botafogo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cuiabá (Local)
Predicción 48.68%2.05momio equitativo
EV -6.05%
Ventaja -3.13%
Kelly -6.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.80%48.69%50.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.871.881.9355.56%53.44%53.19%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Botafogo (Visitante)
Predicción 20.66%4.84momio equitativo
EV +3.73%
Ventaja +0.742%
Kelly +0.927%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.48%20.56%20.65%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.524.505.0225.00%22.11%22.22%19.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.45%30.64%30.66%31.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.29%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -6.05%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.16%EV +3.73%E +0.742%K +0.927%G +0.035% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.80%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV +3.31%E +0.663%K +0.828%G +0.027% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV +3.31%E +0.663%K +0.828%G +0.027% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -0.819%E -0.171%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -0.819%E -0.171%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| Bovada | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -3.92%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.01%EV -8.34%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.95%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.95%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 21:40 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.83%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -11.40%E -6.26%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.18%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.08%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 21:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.18%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 21:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.59%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-22 21:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -11.15%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%EV -11.15%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -12.18%E -2.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:39 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -17.35%E -4.34%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -14.16%E -5.06%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.95% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.47% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |