L’École des cotesFrançais
Cuiabá v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cuiabá (Local)
Prévision 48.68%2.05cote équitable
EV -6.05%
Avantage -3.13%
Kelly -6.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.80%48.69%50.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.871.881.9355.56%53.44%53.19%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.66%4.84cote équitable
EV +3.73%
Avantage +0.742%
Kelly +0.927%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 5.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.48%20.56%20.65%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.524.505.0225.00%22.11%22.22%19.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.66%3.26cote équitable
EV -3.43%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.45%30.64%30.66%31.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.29%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -6.05%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.16%EV +3.73%E +0.742%K +0.927%G +0.035% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.80%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV +3.31%E +0.663%K +0.828%G +0.027% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV +3.31%E +0.663%K +0.828%G +0.027% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -0.819%E -0.171%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -0.819%E -0.171%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| Bovada | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Unibet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -3.92%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.01%EV -8.34%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.95%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.95%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 21:40 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.83%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 00:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -11.40%E -6.26%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.18%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.08%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 21:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 21:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.18%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 21:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.59%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-22 21:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -11.15%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%EV -11.15%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -12.18%E -2.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:39 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -17.35%E -4.34%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -14.16%E -5.06%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.95% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.47% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58% | 2.1% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |