Школа коэффициентов

Cuiabá v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-04-23 00:30 UTC

Итог: Cuiabá 1–1 Botafogo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Cuiabá (Хозяева)

Прогноз 48.68%2.05справедливый коэффициент
EV -6.05%
Преимущество -3.13%
Kelly -6.50%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.93

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.37%48.80%48.69%50.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.871.881.9355.56%53.44%53.19%51.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 20.66%4.84справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.73%
Преимущество +0.742%
Kelly +0.927%
Рост +0.035%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.02

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.48%20.56%20.65%21.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.524.505.0225.00%22.11%22.22%19.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.66%3.26справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.43%
Преимущество -1.09%
Kelly -1.60%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.45%30.64%30.66%31.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.003.003.1535.71%33.29%33.33%31.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -6.05%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.16%EV +3.73%E +0.742%K +0.927%G +0.035%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.02%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 00:05
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.80%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV +3.31%E +0.663%K +0.828%G +0.027%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 00:04
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.67%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV +3.31%E +0.663%K +0.828%G +0.027%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 00:05
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -0.819%E -0.171%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 00:04
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.80%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -0.819%E -0.171%K -0.215%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 00:04
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.18%EV -7.51%E -3.95%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.15%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 00:20
Bovada1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 00:04
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 49.45%EV -9.45%E -5.08%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -9.56%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 00:04
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -1.85%E -0.390%K -0.494%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 00:04
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:25
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:25
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:25
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:25
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:25
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -2.88%E -0.614%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:24
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -3.92%E -0.843%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.01%EV -8.34%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 00:24
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.62%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -4.95%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 00:05
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -4.95%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 00:25
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 21:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:20
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.83%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 00:24
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 49.97%EV -11.40%E -6.26%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -6.50%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 00:25
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.80%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 00:20
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 00:25
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 00:25
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -12.38%E -6.88%K -15.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.02%E -1.56%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 00:25
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.18%EV -8.48%E -4.51%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.08%E -2.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 00:04
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 21:39
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.05%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.18%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -10.12%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 21:39
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 20:40
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.59%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.71%E -4.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 21:34
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -11.15%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 20:09
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.06%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.35%EV -11.15%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 21:40
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.94%EV -7.02%E -3.68%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -12.18%E -2.87%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 20:10
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -8.97%E -4.80%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 20:10
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.03%E -2.68%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 20:10
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 20:39
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -13.22%E -3.15%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -11.09%E -3.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -10.92%E -5.96%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -17.35%E -4.34%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -14.16%E -5.06%K -7.87%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-22 20:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-04-23 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-04-23 00:05
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.95%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%2.1%2026-04-23 00:05