Школа коэффициентов

Criciuma v Ceará

Начало: 2026-06-16 00:00 UTC

Итог: Criciuma 1–1 Ceará

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

42 букмекерские конторы (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Criciuma (Хозяева)

Прогноз 52.78%1.89справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.291%
Преимущество +0.153%
Kelly +0.323%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.46%52.64%52.95%54.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.651.781.761.9060.61%56.06%56.82%52.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ceará (Гости)

Прогноз 19.13%5.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.19%
Преимущество +1.11%
Kelly +1.36%
Рост +0.084%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.55

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.27%19.27%19.06%22.68%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.904.594.555.5525.64%21.79%21.98%18.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.08%3.56справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.68%
Преимущество -1.07%
Kelly -1.51%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.43

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.04%28.09%27.99%29.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.223.253.4334.72%31.01%30.77%29.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (42 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.27%EV +6.19%E +1.11%K +1.36%G +0.084%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.95%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:50
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:50
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:50
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -9.21%E -5.35%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -1.47%E -0.285%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 23:48
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -8.15%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -2.42%E -0.475%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -9.01%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 23:50
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:50
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.04%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 23:49
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 23:50
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 23:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 23:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 23:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 23:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -12.91%E -7.82%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-15 23:40
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.29%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-15 23:49
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.29%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-15 23:49
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-15 23:49
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.12%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 23:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 23:40
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-15 23:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-15 23:39
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 23:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 23:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 23:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.82%E -3.59%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-15 23:40
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -17.16%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-15 23:39
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV +0.291%E +0.153%K +0.323%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 23:40
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:39
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:39
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:39
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -19.12%E -6.64%K -10.17%G +0.000%16.3%2026-06-15 23:40
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -1.29%E -0.691%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -23.47%E -5.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-15 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -24.43%E -6.18%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-15 23:39
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -24.43%E -6.18%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-15 23:40
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 48.46%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-15 23:40
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-15 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-15 23:39
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-15 23:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-06-15 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-06-15 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-06-15 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-15 23:50
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-06-15 23:50