Langue:Français
Criciuma v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Criciuma (Local)
Prévision 52.78%1.89cote équitable
EV +0.291%
Avantage +0.153%
Kelly +0.323%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.46%52.64%52.95%54.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.781.761.9060.61%56.06%56.82%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 19.13%5.23cote équitable
EV +6.19%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.084%
avec la cote maximale 5.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.27%19.27%19.06%22.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.594.555.5525.64%21.79%21.98%18.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.08%3.56cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.04%28.09%27.99%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.223.253.4334.72%31.01%30.77%29.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Criciuma (Local) : 52.78% ; Ceará (Visiteur) : 19.13% ; Match nul : 28.08%. Pour Ceará (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.23. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.55, soit une espérance positive de +6.19%.
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.27%EV +6.19%E +1.11%K +1.36%G +0.084% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.95%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -9.21%E -5.35%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -1.47%E -0.285%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 23:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -8.15%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -2.42%E -0.475%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -9.01%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.04%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -12.91%E -7.82%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.29%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.29%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.12%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.82%E -3.59%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -17.16%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV +0.291%E +0.153%K +0.323%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -19.12%E -6.64%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -1.29%E -0.691%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -23.47%E -5.87%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -24.43%E -6.18%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -24.43%E -6.18%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.46%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |