مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Criciuma v Ceará
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Criciuma (المضيف)
التنبؤ 52.78%1.89السعر العادل
EV +0.291%
الأفضلية +0.153%
Kelly +0.323%
النمو +0.001%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.90
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.46%52.64%52.95%54.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.781.761.9060.61%56.06%56.82%52.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Ceará (الضيف)
التنبؤ 19.13%5.23السعر العادل
EV +6.19%
الأفضلية +1.11%
Kelly +1.36%
النمو +0.084%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.55
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.27%19.27%19.06%22.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.904.594.555.5525.64%21.79%21.98%18.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.08%3.56السعر العادل
EV -3.68%
الأفضلية -1.07%
Kelly -1.51%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.43
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.04%28.09%27.99%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.223.253.4334.72%31.01%30.77%29.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (42 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.27%EV +6.19%E +1.11%K +1.36%G +0.084% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.95%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -9.21%E -5.35%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -1.47%E -0.285%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 23:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -8.15%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -2.42%E -0.475%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -9.01%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.04%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -12.91%E -7.82%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.29%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.29%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.12%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.82%E -3.59%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -17.16%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV +0.291%E +0.153%K +0.323%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -19.12%E -6.64%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -1.29%E -0.691%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -23.47%E -5.87%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -24.43%E -6.18%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -24.43%E -6.18%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.46%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |