La scuola delle quote

Criciuma v Ceará

Inizio: 2026-06-16 00:00 UTC

Finale: Criciuma 1–1 Ceará

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Criciuma (Casa)

Previsione 52.78%1.89quota equa
EV +0.291%
Vantaggio +0.153%
Kelly +0.323%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.46%52.64%52.95%54.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.781.761.9060.61%56.06%56.82%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ceará (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.13%5.23quota equa
EV +6.19%
Vantaggio +1.11%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescita +0.084%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.27%19.27%19.06%22.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.594.555.5525.64%21.79%21.98%18.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.08%3.56quota equa
EV -3.68%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.04%28.09%27.99%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.223.253.4334.72%31.01%30.77%29.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.27%EV +6.19%E +1.11%K +1.36%G +0.084%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.95%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-15 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:50
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:50
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:50
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -9.21%E -5.35%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -1.47%E -0.285%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 23:48
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -8.15%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -2.42%E -0.475%K -0.591%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -9.01%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 23:50
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 23:50
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.04%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 23:49
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 23:50
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 23:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 23:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 23:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 23:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -12.91%E -7.82%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-15 23:40
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.29%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-15 23:49
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.29%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-15 23:49
Codere (IT)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-15 23:49
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.12%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 23:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 23:40
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-15 23:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-15 23:39
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 23:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 23:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 23:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.82%E -3.59%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-15 23:40
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -17.16%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-15 23:39
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV +0.291%E +0.153%K +0.323%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 23:40
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:39
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:39
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:39
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -19.12%E -6.64%K -10.17%G +0.000%16.3%2026-06-15 23:40
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -1.29%E -0.691%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -23.47%E -5.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-15 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -24.43%E -6.18%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-15 23:39
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -24.43%E -6.18%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-15 23:40
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 48.46%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-15 23:40
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-15 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-15 23:39
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-15 23:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-06-15 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-06-15 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90%0.3%2026-06-15 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82%0.6%2026-06-15 23:50
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-06-15 23:50