La escuela de los momiosCriciuma v Ceará
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Criciuma (Local)
Predicción 52.78%1.89momio equitativo
EV +0.291%
Ventaja +0.153%
Kelly +0.323%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.46%52.64%52.95%54.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.781.761.9060.61%56.06%56.82%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ceará (Visitante)
Predicción 19.13%5.23momio equitativo
EV +6.19%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.084%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.27%19.27%19.06%22.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.594.555.5525.64%21.79%21.98%18.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.08%3.56momio equitativo
EV -3.68%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.04%28.09%27.99%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.223.253.4334.72%31.01%30.77%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.27%EV +6.19%E +1.11%K +1.36%G +0.084% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.95%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.98%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.82%EV +1.40%E +0.265%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.20%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Bovada | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -9.21%E -5.35%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -1.47%E -0.285%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 23:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -8.15%E -4.69%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -2.42%E -0.475%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -9.01%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.04%E -3.40%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -12.91%E -7.82%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -4.34%E -0.868%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.29%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.60%EV -5.29%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.12%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.84%EV -10.27%E -6.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -11.99%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -6.57%E -3.71%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.90%E -3.09%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.82%E -3.59%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -17.16%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -10.13%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV +0.291%E +0.153%K +0.323%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.22%EV -0.237%E -0.125%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.69%EV -8.68%E -5.02%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.85%EV -19.12%E -6.64%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -1.29%E -0.691%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -23.47%E -5.87%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -24.43%E -6.18%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -3.40%E -1.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -24.43%E -6.18%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.94%E -4.18%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.46%EV -3.93%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.92%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.74%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -25.38%E -6.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -14.35%E -4.70%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.90% | 0.3% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.57% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |