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Clube de Regatas Brasil v Nautico PE

Kickoff: 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC

Final: Clube de Regatas Brasil 2–1 Nautico PE

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 49.26%2.03fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.40%49.38%49.22%50.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.871.9555.56%53.31%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nautico PE (Visit)

Prediction 23.19%4.31fair odd
EV +2.25%
Edge +0.510%
Kelly +0.660%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.70%23.17%23.13%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.923.854.4127.78%25.53%25.97%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.43%27.45%27.65%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.353.353.5031.75%29.89%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.78%EV +2.25%E +0.510%K +0.660%G +0.015%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -4.37%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 22:45
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.299%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:45
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.299%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:45
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -1.46%E -0.343%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 22:45
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 50.11%EV -9.37%E -5.09%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -2.62%E -0.623%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 22:20
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.39%E -4.51%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -3.78%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -8.51%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 22:45
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.94%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-16 22:20
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:25
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:25
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 22:25
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-16 22:20
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-16 22:25
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 22:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 22:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:24
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 22:55
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 22:45
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 22:20
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 22:45
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-16 22:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-16 22:20
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -14.21%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:45
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-16 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-16 22:55
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-16 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -16.53%E -4.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -16.53%E -4.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-07-16 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-07-16 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-07-16 22:55
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-07-16 22:50
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-07-16 22:50