Clube de Regatas Brasil v Nautico PE

2026-07-16 23:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

44%

28%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 44.39%2.25fair odd

EV -7.66%

Edge -3.68%

Kelly -7.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.24%44.39%44.39%44.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.972.042.082.0851%49%48%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Nautico PE (Visit)

Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd

EV -6.15%

Edge -1.86%

Kelly -2.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.21%28.44%28.44%28.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.103.223.303.3032%31%30%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd

EV -6.28%

Edge -1.82%

Kelly -2.56%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.00%27.17%27.17%27.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.203.363.453.4531%30%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-09 23:29
Unibet (SE)	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-09 23:30
Casumo	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-09 23:29
Unibet (NL)	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-09 23:29
Svenska Spel	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-09 23:30
ATG (SE)	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-09 23:29
betPARX	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -7.66%E -3.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.15%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-09 23:30
BetRivers	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.99%E -4.39%K -8.56%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-09 23:29
Grosvenor	2.02I 49.50%NM 44.38%EV -10.32%E -5.11%K -10.12%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-07-09 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -10.41%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-07-09 23:29
TABtouch	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.21%E -5.61%K -11.21%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.71%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-07-09 23:29
LiveScore Bet	1.97I 50.76%NM 44.42%EV -12.54%E -6.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-07-09 23:29
Virgin Bet	1.97I 50.76%NM 44.42%EV -12.54%E -6.37%K -12.93%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -13.07%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%	14.3%	2026-07-09 23:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.