L’École des cotesFrançais
Clube de Regatas Brasil v Nautico PE
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)
Prévision 49.26%2.03cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -4.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.40%49.38%49.22%50.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.871.9555.56%53.31%53.48%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Nautico PE (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.19%4.31cote équitable
EV +2.25%
Avantage +0.510%
Kelly +0.660%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 4.41
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.70%23.17%23.13%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.923.854.4127.78%25.53%25.97%22.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.56%3.63cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.43%27.45%27.65%28.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.353.353.5031.75%29.89%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.78%EV +2.25%E +0.510%K +0.660%G +0.015% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -4.37%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.299%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.299%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -1.46%E -0.343%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| Bovada | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.11%EV -9.37%E -5.09%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -2.62%E -0.623%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.39%E -4.51%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -3.78%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -8.51%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.94%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-16 22:25 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-16 22:25 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-16 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-16 22:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-16 22:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-16 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-16 22:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-16 22:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -14.21%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -16.53%E -4.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -16.53%E -4.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 1.8% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |