La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Clube de Regatas Brasil v Nautico PE
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)
Predicción 49.26%2.03momio equitativo
EV -3.95%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -4.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.40%49.38%49.22%50.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.871.9555.56%53.31%53.48%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nautico PE (Visitante)
Predicción 23.19%4.31momio equitativo
EV +2.25%
Ventaja +0.510%
Kelly +0.660%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.70%23.17%23.13%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.923.854.4127.78%25.53%25.97%22.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.43%27.45%27.65%28.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.353.353.5031.75%29.89%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.78%EV +2.25%E +0.510%K +0.660%G +0.015% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -4.37%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.299%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.299%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -1.46%E -0.343%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| Bovada | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.11%EV -9.37%E -5.09%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -2.62%E -0.623%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.39%E -4.51%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -3.78%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -8.51%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.94%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-16 22:25 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-16 22:25 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-16 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-16 22:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-16 22:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-16 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-16 22:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-16 22:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-16 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -14.21%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-16 22:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -16.53%E -4.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -16.53%E -4.59%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 0.4% | 2026-07-16 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54% | 1.8% | 2026-07-16 22:50 |