La scuola delle quote

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Nautico PE

Inizio: 2026-07-16 23:00 UTC

Finale: Clube de Regatas Brasil 2–1 Nautico PE

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Casa)

Previsione 49.26%2.03quota equa
EV -3.95%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -4.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.40%49.38%49.22%50.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.881.871.9555.56%53.31%53.48%51.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nautico PE (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.19%4.31quota equa
EV +2.25%
Vantaggio +0.510%
Kelly +0.660%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.70%23.17%23.13%24.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.923.854.4127.78%25.53%25.97%22.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.56%3.63quota equa
EV -3.55%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.43%27.45%27.65%28.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.353.353.5031.75%29.89%29.85%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.78%EV +2.25%E +0.510%K +0.660%G +0.015%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -4.37%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 22:45
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.299%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:45
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -0.299%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:45
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -1.46%E -0.343%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 22:45
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 50.11%EV -9.37%E -5.09%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -2.62%E -0.623%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 22:20
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.39%E -4.51%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -3.78%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -8.51%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 22:45
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.94%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-16 22:20
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:25
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.10%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:25
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.92%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-16 22:25
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.26%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-16 22:20
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.02%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-16 22:25
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.41%E -2.13%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 22:25
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 22:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-16 22:24
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.57%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 22:55
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -3.95%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 22:45
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -6.41%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -4.94%E -2.56%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.73%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 22:55
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 22:20
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 22:45
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -11.89%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -6.30%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-16 22:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.05%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.06%E -2.74%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-16 22:20
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -14.21%E -3.84%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-16 22:45
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69%EV -7.89%E -4.22%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-16 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-16 22:55
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -15.37%E -4.21%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -11.81%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-16 22:55
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -16.53%E -4.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -9.86%E -5.39%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -16.53%E -4.59%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.81%EV -13.19%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-16 22:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-07-16 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-07-16 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-07-16 22:55
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-07-16 22:50
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.14%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%1.8%2026-07-16 22:50