Oddsskolan

Ceará v Vila Nova

Matchstart: 2026-04-26 21:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Ceará (Hemma)

Prognos 57.01%1.75rättvist odds
EV -4.80%
Fördel -2.88%
Kelly -7.17%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.67

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.15%57.00%56.95%58.63%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.551.611.621.6764.52%62.00%61.73%59.88%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Borta)

Prognos 16.50%6.06rättvist odds
EV +0.628%
Fördel +0.103%
Kelly +0.123%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.24%16.45%16.65%17.99%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
5.005.675.606.1020.00%17.63%17.86%16.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.50%3.77rättvist odds
EV -0.631%
Fördel -0.168%
Kelly -0.230%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.93%26.54%26.41%28.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.103.453.503.7532.26%28.95%28.57%26.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:14
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:15
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:20
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:14
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:19
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:15
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:09
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -11.07%E -7.10%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:09
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 57.43%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.18%EV -3.99%E -0.686%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.38%EV -5.40%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.10%EV -11.07%E -7.10%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 11:09
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 11:14
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 11:20
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -5.15%E -0.895%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:03
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -5.15%E -0.895%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 21:54
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 08:00
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 08:01
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.32%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.86%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 13:09
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:09
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:09
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -7.08%E -4.34%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.69%EV -8.44%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:09
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 00:44
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -0.631%E -0.168%K -0.230%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:09
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -5.37%E -3.24%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:44
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:40
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:39
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:10
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 00:45
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 00:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 00:44
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 00:45
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-24 00:45
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 21:54
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 18:18
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.12%EV -9.93%E -6.29%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -10.92%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 15:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.17%EV -7.08%E -4.34%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -17.52%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -11.23%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.15%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -17.52%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -17.86%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-24 00:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 56.05%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%16.6%2026-04-21 08:00