Die Schule der Quoten

Ceará v Vila Nova

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-26 21:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Ceará (Heim)

Prognose 57.01%1.75faire Quote
EV -4.80%
Vorteil -2.88%
Kelly -7.17%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.15%57.00%56.95%58.63%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.551.611.621.6764.52%62.00%61.73%59.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.50%6.06faire Quote
EV +0.628%
Vorteil +0.103%
Kelly +0.123%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.24%16.45%16.65%17.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.005.675.606.1020.00%17.63%17.86%16.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.50%3.77faire Quote
EV -0.631%
Vorteil -0.168%
Kelly -0.230%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.93%26.54%26.41%28.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.453.503.7532.26%28.95%28.57%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:14
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:15
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:20
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:14
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:19
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 11:15
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:09
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -11.07%E -7.10%K -19.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 11:09
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 57.43%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.18%EV -3.99%E -0.686%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.38%EV -5.40%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:10
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.10%EV -11.07%E -7.10%K -19.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 11:09
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 11:14
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 11:20
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -5.15%E -0.895%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:03
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -5.15%E -0.895%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-20 21:54
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 08:00
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 08:01
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.32%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.86%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 13:09
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:09
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:09
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -7.08%E -4.34%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.69%EV -8.44%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:09
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 00:44
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -0.631%E -0.168%K -0.230%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 18:09
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -5.37%E -3.24%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:44
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:14
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:40
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 22:39
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:10
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 00:45
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 00:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 00:44
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 00:45
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-24 00:45
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 21:54
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 18:18
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.12%EV -9.93%E -6.29%K -17.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -10.92%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 15:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.17%EV -7.08%E -4.34%K -11.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -17.52%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -11.23%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.15%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -17.52%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -17.86%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-24 00:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (1)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 56.05%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.15%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%16.6%2026-04-21 08:00