L’École des cotesFrançais
Ceará v Vila Nova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 57.01%1.75cote équitable
EV -4.80%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -7.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.15%57.00%56.95%58.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.611.621.6764.52%62.00%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Vila Nova (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.50%6.06cote équitable
EV +0.628%
Avantage +0.103%
Kelly +0.123%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 6.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.24%16.45%16.65%17.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.675.606.1020.00%17.63%17.86%16.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.50%3.77cote équitable
EV -0.631%
Avantage -0.168%
Kelly -0.230%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.93%26.54%26.41%28.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.453.503.7532.26%28.95%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +0.628%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 11:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -10.50%E -6.69%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -11.07%E -7.10%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.43%EV -6.51%E -3.97%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.18%EV -3.99%E -0.686%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.38%EV -5.40%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.10%EV -11.07%E -7.10%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -4.32%E -0.745%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.05%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -5.15%E -0.895%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 21:03 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -5.15%E -0.895%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 08:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 08:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.32%EV -11.64%E -7.51%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.86%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -7.08%E -4.34%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.69%EV -8.44%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -4.80%E -2.88%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -8.22%E -5.11%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -0.631%E -0.168%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -5.37%E -3.24%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 22:39 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 18:10 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 00:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.91%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-24 00:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-24 00:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.31%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.38%EV -9.27%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.56%E -3.80%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 18:18 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.12%EV -9.93%E -6.29%K -17.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -10.92%E -2.02%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.17%EV -7.08%E -4.34%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -17.52%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -11.23%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.15%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -17.52%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -17.86%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-24 00:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.05% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.15% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80% | 16.6% | 2026-04-21 08:00 |