语言:简体中文
Ceará v Sport Recife
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ceará (主队)
预测 42.04%2.38公平赔率
EV -5.41%
优势 -2.41%
Kelly -4.33%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.25
博彩公司预测分布
41.28%42.08%42.02%43.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.172.162.2549.02%46.18%46.30%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sport Recife (客队)
预测 28.52%3.51公平赔率
EV -3.87%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.37
博彩公司预测分布
27.08%28.42%28.53%29.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.223.253.3732.79%31.05%30.77%29.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.44%3.40公平赔率
EV -2.86%
优势 -0.866%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.35%29.50%29.45%31.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.143.103.3035.09%31.85%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ceará (主队)：42.04%；Sport Recife (客队)：28.52%；平局：29.44%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.40。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.30，期望值为-2.86%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.72%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.28%EV -5.83%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.28%EV -5.83%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 15:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.91%EV -6.67%E -3.01%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.28%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.82%EV -8.16%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 08:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.27%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -6.44%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -8.16%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 15:07 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -7.27%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 10:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 10:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 08:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 03:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 08:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 07:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 10:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 10:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -16.10%E -5.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.88%E -5.13%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.72%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.56%E -6.04%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.27%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -12.98%E -6.27%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 10:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -13.40%E -6.50%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -14.24%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -14.24%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-02 10:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.13% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 14.29% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 112.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 14.29% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 112.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 14.29% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 112.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |