Langue:Français
Ceará v Sport Recife
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 42.04%2.38cote équitable
EV -5.41%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -4.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.28%42.08%42.02%43.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.172.162.2549.02%46.18%46.30%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Sport Recife (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.52%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%28.42%28.53%29.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.223.253.3732.79%31.05%30.77%29.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.44%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.866%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.35%29.50%29.45%31.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.143.103.3035.09%31.85%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ceará (Local) : 42.04% ; Sport Recife (Visiteur) : 28.52% ; Match nul : 29.44%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.40. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.30, pour une espérance de -2.86% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.72%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.28%EV -5.83%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.28%EV -5.83%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 15:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.91%EV -6.67%E -3.01%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.28%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.82%EV -8.16%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-31 08:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.27%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -6.44%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -8.16%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 15:07 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-02 12:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -7.27%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 10:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 10:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 08:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 03:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 08:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 07:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 10:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 10:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-02 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -16.10%E -5.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-03 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.88%E -5.13%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.72%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.56%E -6.04%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.27%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -12.98%E -6.27%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-02 10:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -13.40%E -6.50%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -14.24%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-02 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -14.24%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-02 10:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.13% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 14.29% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 112.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 14.29% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 112.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 14.29% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86% | 112.1% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |