StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ceará v Sport Recife

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 21:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Ceará 2–1 Sport Recife

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Ceará (Hemma)

Prognos 42.04%2.38rättvist odds
EV -5.41%
Fördel -2.41%
Kelly -4.33%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.28%42.08%42.02%43.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.042.172.162.2549.02%46.18%46.30%44.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sport Recife (Borta)

Prognos 28.52%3.51rättvist odds
EV -3.87%
Fördel -1.15%
Kelly -1.64%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.37

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.08%28.42%28.53%29.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.223.253.3732.79%31.05%30.77%29.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.44%3.40rättvist odds
EV -2.86%
Fördel -0.866%
Kelly -1.24%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.35%29.50%29.45%31.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.143.103.3035.09%31.85%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Ceará (Hemma): 42.04%; Sport Recife (Borta): 28.52%; Oavgjort: 29.44%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.40. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.30, med väntevärdet -2.86%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.14%EV -3.87%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.72%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.28%EV -5.83%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.28%EV -5.83%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 15:09
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.91%EV -6.67%E -3.01%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.28%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.82%EV -8.16%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 21:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 08:24
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 21:30
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.27%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.09%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -6.44%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.68%EV -8.16%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 21:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 17:09
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:07
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.30%E -2.25%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 13:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 12:40
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.51%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-02 12:39
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.03%EV -7.27%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 21:30
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 17:55
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.94%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 17:55
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 10:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 11:00
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 10:59
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.86%E -0.866%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 10:59
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 08:30
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 21:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 03:24
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 08:20
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 07:55
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 10:09
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 10:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.53%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 18:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.56%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -16.10%E -5.65%K -8.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 21:50
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -10.88%E -5.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 11:00
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.72%E -5.58%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-31 21:49
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -12.56%E -6.04%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.27%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.82%EV -12.98%E -6.27%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-02 10:59
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -13.40%E -6.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.58%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -14.24%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-02 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -14.24%E -6.98%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.00%E -4.26%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-02 10:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%7.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 40.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.13%11.4%2026-09-04 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 14.29%1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86%112.1%2026-09-04 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 14.29%1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86%112.1%2026-09-04 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86%3.30I 30.30%NM 14.29%1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86%112.1%2026-09-04 13:20