Oddsskolan

Ceará v Nautico PE

Matchstart: 2026-04-11 23:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Ceará (Hemma)

Prognos 49.35%2.03rättvist odds
EV -5.73%
Fördel -3.00%
Kelly -6.30%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.09%49.43%49.23%51.44%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.761.851.851.9156.82%54.04%54.05%52.36%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Nautico PE (Borta)

Prognos 21.86%4.58rättvist odds
EV +4.91%
Fördel +1.02%
Kelly +1.29%
Tillväxt +0.063%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.53%21.59%22.02%22.98%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.754.334.354.8026.67%23.08%22.99%20.83%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.79%3.47rättvist odds
EV -3.55%
Fördel -1.06%
Kelly -1.51%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.10%28.98%28.75%30.59%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.883.203.203.3534.72%31.25%31.25%29.85%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.54%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +4.91%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.46%EV -6.14%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:20
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.88%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +2.72%E +0.579%K +0.735%G +0.020%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.88%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +2.72%E +0.579%K +0.735%G +0.020%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 23:14
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:25
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 23:25
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 23:25
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 23:25
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 23:25
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -0.559%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:10
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 23:25
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -8.20%E -4.41%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 23:25
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 23:14
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.08%EV -11.66%E -6.51%K -14.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 23:25
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -10.18%E -5.59%K -12.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 23:10
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -13.14%E -7.46%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -13.14%E -7.46%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 23:25
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 23:25
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 23:10
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.63%EV -12.15%E -6.83%K -15.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 23:13
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.09%EV -6.72%E -3.56%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.82%EV -7.29%E -2.27%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 23:13
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 23:10
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.30%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:15
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.30%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 23:14
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -8.20%E -4.41%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -10.39%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 23:15
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 23:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 23:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 23:10
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 23:10
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 48.92%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.70%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-11 23:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -18.04%E -4.81%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.08%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 23:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12%1.0%2026-04-11 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12%1.0%2026-04-11 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12%1.0%2026-04-11 23:20