L’École des cotesFrançais
Ceará v Nautico PE
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 49.35%2.03cote équitable
EV -5.73%
Avantage -3.00%
Kelly -6.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.09%49.43%49.23%51.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.851.851.9156.82%54.04%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Nautico PE (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.86%4.58cote équitable
EV +4.91%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.063%
avec la cote maximale 4.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.53%21.59%22.02%22.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.334.354.8026.67%23.08%22.99%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.79%3.47cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.10%28.98%28.75%30.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.203.203.3534.72%31.25%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.54%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +4.91%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.46%EV -6.14%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.88%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +2.72%E +0.579%K +0.735%G +0.020% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.88%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +2.72%E +0.579%K +0.735%G +0.020% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -0.559%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -8.20%E -4.41%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.08%EV -11.66%E -6.51%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -10.18%E -5.59%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -13.14%E -7.46%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -13.14%E -7.46%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.63%EV -12.15%E -6.83%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.09%EV -6.72%E -3.56%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.82%EV -7.29%E -2.27%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.30%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.30%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -8.20%E -4.41%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -10.39%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.92%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.70%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 23:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -18.04%E -4.81%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.08%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:20 |