La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Ceará v Nautico PE
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Ceará (Casa)
Previsione 49.35%2.03quota equa
EV -5.73%
Vantaggio -3.00%
Kelly -6.30%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.09%49.43%49.23%51.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.761.851.851.9156.82%54.04%54.05%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Nautico PE (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.86%4.58quota equa
EV +4.91%
Vantaggio +1.02%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescita +0.063%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.53%21.59%22.02%22.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.334.354.8026.67%23.08%22.99%20.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.79%3.47quota equa
EV -3.55%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.10%28.98%28.75%30.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.203.203.3534.72%31.25%31.25%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.54%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +4.91%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.46%EV -6.14%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.88%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +2.72%E +0.579%K +0.735%G +0.020% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.88%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +2.72%E +0.579%K +0.735%G +0.020% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -0.559%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -8.20%E -4.41%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.08%EV -11.66%E -6.51%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -10.18%E -5.59%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -13.14%E -7.46%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -13.14%E -7.46%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.63%EV -12.15%E -6.83%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.09%EV -6.72%E -3.56%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.82%EV -7.29%E -2.27%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.30%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.30%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -8.20%E -4.41%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -10.39%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.92%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.70%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 23:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -18.04%E -4.81%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.08%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:20 |