La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ceará v Nautico PE
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ceará (Local)
Predicción 49.35%2.03momio equitativo
EV -5.73%
Ventaja -3.00%
Kelly -6.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.09%49.43%49.23%51.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.851.851.9156.82%54.04%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nautico PE (Visitante)
Predicción 21.86%4.58momio equitativo
EV +4.91%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.063%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.53%21.59%22.02%22.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.334.354.8026.67%23.08%22.99%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.79%3.47momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.10%28.98%28.75%30.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.3534.72%31.25%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.54%EV -6.23%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.01%EV +4.91%E +1.02%K +1.29%G +0.063% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.46%EV -6.14%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.88%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +2.72%E +0.579%K +0.735%G +0.020% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.88%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV +2.72%E +0.579%K +0.735%G +0.020% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -9.19%E -4.99%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.18%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV +0.534%E +0.116%K +0.148%G +0.001% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -0.559%E -0.123%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.71%E -4.12%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -8.20%E -4.41%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -1.65%E -0.367%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.08%EV -11.66%E -6.51%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -3.84%E -0.872%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -10.18%E -5.59%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -13.14%E -7.46%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -13.14%E -7.46%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.70%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -5.37%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -6.02%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.63%EV -12.15%E -6.83%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -7.12%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.16%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.09%EV -6.72%E -3.56%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.82%EV -7.29%E -2.27%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.21%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.30%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.23%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.30%EV -9.30%E -2.24%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -8.20%E -4.41%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -10.39%E -2.54%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.92%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -12.58%E -3.14%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.70%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-11 23:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -18.04%E -4.81%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -17.08%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.26% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:20 |