The School of Odds

Ceará v Clube de Regatas Brasil

2026-07-22 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Ceará (Local)

Prediction 43.01%2.33fair odd
EV -7.10%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -6.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.78%43.01%43.01%43.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.042.122.162.1649%47%46%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)

Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -5.97%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%28.49%28.49%28.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.223.303.3033%31%30%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -5.97%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%28.49%28.49%28.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.303.3033%31%30%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-15 23:14
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-15 23:14
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-15 23:15
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-15 23:14
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-15 23:14
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-15 23:14
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.10%E -3.29%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.97%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-15 23:15
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.82%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-15 23:15
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -10.54%E -5.07%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.24%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.24%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-15 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.01%EV -10.97%E -5.30%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -10.24%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -11.67%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-15 23:14
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -11.40%E -5.53%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.67%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -11.67%E -3.76%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-15 23:15
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -12.26%E -6.01%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.09%E -4.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.09%E -4.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-15 23:15
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 42.78%EV -12.26%E -6.01%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.09%E -4.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.09%E -4.29%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-15 23:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.