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Ceará v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ceará (Local)
Prediction 42.18%2.37fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.89%42.19%42.11%45.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.182.2750.00%46.36%45.87%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)
Prediction 28.13%3.55fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.771%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%28.07%28.13%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.293.303.4633.33%30.42%30.30%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.69%3.37fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.24%29.74%29.76%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.083.103.2237.74%32.47%32.26%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ceará (Local): 42.18%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 28.13%; Draw: 29.69%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.46, with an expected value of -2.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.35%EV -4.25%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -2.67%E -0.771%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.86%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.10%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 15:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.10%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -5.94%E -2.66%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -8.56%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:20 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 15:29 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 15:29 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 16:55 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -15.61%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -21.32%E -8.05%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -21.32%E -8.05%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.27%EV -7.63%E -3.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -7.37%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -7.63%E -3.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 21:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-22 22:23 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-22 21:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 22:23 |
| betano_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 22:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-22 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -12.69%E -6.13%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-22 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -13.53%E -6.60%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -13.95%E -6.84%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-22 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -14.80%E -7.33%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -14.80%E -7.33%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -15.64%E -7.82%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.79% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 0.7% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |