La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Ceará v Clube de Regatas Brasil
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ceará (Local)
Predicción 42.18%2.37momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -3.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.89%42.19%42.11%45.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.182.2750.00%46.36%45.87%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)
Predicción 28.13%3.55momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -0.771%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.58%28.07%28.13%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.4633.33%30.42%30.30%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.69%3.37momio equitativo
EV -4.40%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.24%29.74%29.76%33.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.083.103.2237.74%32.47%32.26%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.35%EV -4.25%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -2.67%E -0.771%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.86%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-22 22:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.10%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-22 15:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.10%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -5.94%E -2.66%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -8.56%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-22 22:20 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 15:29 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-22 15:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 15:29 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 16:55 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| betfred_uk | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -15.61%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -21.32%E -8.05%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -21.32%E -8.05%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-22 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.27%EV -7.63%E -3.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -7.37%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 16:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -7.63%E -3.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Bovada | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-22 21:14 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-22 22:23 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-22 21:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 22:23 |
| betano_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 22:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-22 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-22 09:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -12.69%E -6.13%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-22 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -13.53%E -6.60%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -13.95%E -6.84%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-22 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -14.80%E -7.33%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -14.80%E -7.33%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -15.64%E -7.82%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-22 22:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-22 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.79% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 0.7% | 2026-07-22 22:19 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-07-22 22:24 |