A Escola das Odds

Ceará v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Início: 2026-07-22 22:29 UTC

Final: Ceará 0–1 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ceará (Local)

Previsão 42.18%2.37odd justa
EV -4.25%
Vantagem -1.87%
Kelly -3.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.89%42.19%42.11%45.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.162.182.2750.00%46.36%45.87%44.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)

Previsão 28.13%3.55odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -0.771%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.58%28.07%28.13%30.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.293.303.4633.33%30.42%30.30%28.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.69%3.37odd justa
EV -4.40%
Vantagem -1.37%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.24%29.74%29.76%33.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.653.083.103.2237.74%32.47%32.26%31.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.35%EV -4.25%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -2.67%E -0.771%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.86%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 22:15
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.10%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 15:24
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.10%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:19
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -5.94%E -2.66%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -8.56%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:20
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 22:09
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:19
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 15:29
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 15:30
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 15:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 22:19
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 15:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:55
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:54
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:49
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:54
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -15.61%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 22:19
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -21.32%E -8.05%K -12.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 22:04
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -21.32%E -8.05%K -12.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 22:04
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.27%EV -7.63%E -3.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -7.37%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:54
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -7.63%E -3.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 15:30
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 22:19
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 22:24
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 21:14
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 22:23
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 21:39
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 22:23
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 22:24
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 22:10
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 22:19
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 09:54
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -12.69%E -6.13%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-22 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -13.53%E -6.60%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 22:09
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -13.95%E -6.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-22 22:10
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -14.80%E -7.33%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 22:09
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -14.80%E -7.33%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 22:09
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -15.64%E -7.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 22:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-07-22 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-07-22 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-07-22 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.7%2026-07-22 22:19
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-07-22 22:24