Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ceará v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-22 22:29 UTC

Score final : Ceará 0–1 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ceará (Local)

Prévision 42.18%2.37cote équitable
EV -4.25%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.89%42.19%42.11%45.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.182.2750.00%46.36%45.87%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.13%3.55cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -0.771%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.58%28.07%28.13%30.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.293.303.4633.33%30.42%30.30%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.69%3.37cote équitable
EV -4.40%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.24%29.74%29.76%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.653.083.103.2237.74%32.47%32.26%31.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ceará (Local) : 42.18% ; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visiteur) : 28.13% ; Match nul : 29.69%. Pour Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.55. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.46, pour une espérance de -2.67% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.35%EV -4.25%E -1.87%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.79%EV -2.67%E -0.771%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.86%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-22 22:15
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.10%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 15:24
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.10%E -2.26%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:19
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -5.94%E -2.66%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -4.92%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -8.56%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-22 22:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 22:09
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 15:29
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 15:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.79%E -4.13%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 22:19
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 15:29
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:55
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:54
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -15.61%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -21.32%E -8.05%K -12.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 22:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -7.20%E -3.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -21.32%E -8.05%K -12.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.27%EV -7.63%E -3.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -7.37%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 16:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.99%EV -7.63%E -3.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-22 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -6.48%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 22:19
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 22:24
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -8.05%E -3.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 21:14
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 22:23
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 21:39
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 22:23
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -9.31%E -4.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -12.23%E -3.92%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 22:24
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -9.74%E -4.55%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 22:09
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.96%E -2.57%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 22:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.17%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 22:19
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.42%E -5.44%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 09:54
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -12.69%E -6.13%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-22 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -13.53%E -6.60%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.57%E -2.64%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-22 22:09
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -13.95%E -6.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -9.45%E -3.10%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-22 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -14.80%E -7.33%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -14.80%E -7.33%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -9.98%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -10.93%E -3.64%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -15.64%E -7.82%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -4.35%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -4.99%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 22:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-07-22 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-07-22 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-07-22 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.7%2026-07-22 22:19
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-07-22 22:24