Школа коэффициентов

Ceará v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-06-20 22:00 UTC

Итог: Ceará 0–1 Botafogo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

43 букмекерские конторы (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Ceará (Хозяева)

Прогноз 49.98%2.00справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.54%
Преимущество -2.37%
Kelly -4.98%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.91

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.21%50.08%49.93%52.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.721.831.851.9158.14%54.57%54.05%52.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 21.20%4.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.373%
Преимущество -0.079%
Kelly -0.101%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.70

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.23%21.13%21.22%22.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.404.404.7025.00%22.73%22.73%21.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.82%3.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.60%
Преимущество -1.39%
Kelly -1.99%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.31

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.86%28.80%28.85%30.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.153.203.3136.36%31.78%31.25%30.21%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (43 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.31%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV -1.43%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.03%EV -4.60%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 21:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-20 13:19
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-20 21:19
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-20 20:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -6.54%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.61%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 21:49
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.54%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:09
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.82%EV -7.03%E -3.78%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.19%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-20 21:40
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:39
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:40
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:39
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 21:39
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-20 21:49
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 21:09
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 21:09
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 21:10
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-20 21:17
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-20 21:19
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 21:09
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 21:09
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 21:09
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-20 21:09
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-20 21:09
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -8.03%E -4.37%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 21:50
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.51%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -0.373%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 21:48
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-20 21:09
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-20 21:09
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-20 21:09
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -9.03%E -4.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-20 21:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.08%E -3.23%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-20 21:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.61%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-20 21:49
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-20 00:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 50.04%EV -10.53%E -5.88%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -12.09%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-20 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.06%EV -11.03%E -6.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.09%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-20 21:40
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 49.96%EV -11.53%E -6.52%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.56%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-20 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-20 21:40
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-20 21:39
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-20 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.00%EV -13.53%E -7.82%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.18%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.82%EV -20.74%E -7.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%18.0%2026-06-20 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.03%E -8.16%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.373%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-20 20:49
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-06-20 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-06-20 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-06-20 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-06-20 21:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-06-20 21:40