L’École des cotesCeará v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 49.98%2.00cote équitable
EV -4.54%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -4.98%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.21%50.08%49.93%52.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.831.851.9158.14%54.57%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.20%4.72cote équitable
EV -0.373%
Avantage -0.079%
Kelly -0.101%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.23%21.13%21.22%22.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.404.404.7025.00%22.73%22.73%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.82%3.47cote équitable
EV -4.60%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.86%28.80%28.85%30.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.153.203.3136.36%31.78%31.25%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.31%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV -1.43%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.03%EV -4.60%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 21:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 20:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -6.54%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.61%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.54%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.82%EV -7.03%E -3.78%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.19%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 21:10 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 21:17 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 21:19 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -8.03%E -4.37%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.51%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -0.373%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-20 21:48 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -9.03%E -4.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.08%E -3.23%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.61%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-20 00:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.04%EV -10.53%E -5.88%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -12.09%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.06%EV -11.03%E -6.20%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.09%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.96%EV -11.53%E -6.52%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.56%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.00%EV -13.53%E -7.82%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.18%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.82%EV -20.74%E -7.54%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.03%E -8.16%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.373%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-20 20:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |