مدرسة الاحتمالاتCeará v Botafogo
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Ceará (المضيف)
التنبؤ 49.98%2.00السعر العادل
EV -4.54%
الأفضلية -2.37%
Kelly -4.98%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.21%50.08%49.93%52.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.831.851.9158.14%54.57%54.05%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Botafogo (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.20%4.72السعر العادل
EV -0.373%
الأفضلية -0.079%
Kelly -0.101%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.23%21.13%21.22%22.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.404.404.7025.00%22.73%22.73%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.82%3.47السعر العادل
EV -4.60%
الأفضلية -1.39%
Kelly -1.99%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.31
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.86%28.80%28.85%30.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.153.203.3136.36%31.78%31.25%30.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.31%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV -1.43%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.03%EV -4.60%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 21:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 20:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -6.54%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.61%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.54%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.82%EV -7.03%E -3.78%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.19%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 21:10 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 21:17 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 21:19 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -8.03%E -4.37%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.51%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -0.373%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-20 21:48 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -9.03%E -4.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.08%E -3.23%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.61%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-20 00:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.04%EV -10.53%E -5.88%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -12.09%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.06%EV -11.03%E -6.20%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.09%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.96%EV -11.53%E -6.52%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.56%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.00%EV -13.53%E -7.82%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.18%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.82%EV -20.74%E -7.54%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.03%E -8.16%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.373%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-20 20:49 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |