La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Ceará v Botafogo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Ceará (Casa)
Previsione 49.98%2.00quota equa
EV -4.54%
Vantaggio -2.37%
Kelly -4.98%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.21%50.08%49.93%52.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.831.851.9158.14%54.57%54.05%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Botafogo (Trasferta)
Previsione 21.20%4.72quota equa
EV -0.373%
Vantaggio -0.079%
Kelly -0.101%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.23%21.13%21.22%22.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.404.404.7025.00%22.73%22.73%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.82%3.47quota equa
EV -4.60%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -1.99%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.86%28.80%28.85%30.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.153.203.3136.36%31.78%31.25%30.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.31%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.66%EV -1.43%E -0.308%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.03%EV -4.60%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-20 13:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-20 21:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-20 20:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -6.54%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -4.61%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.54%E -3.49%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.82%EV -7.03%E -3.78%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -7.19%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -2.49%E -0.542%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 21:10 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 21:17 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-20 21:19 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -7.53%E -4.07%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -9.21%E -2.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -8.03%E -4.37%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 20.85%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.39%EV -5.18%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.51%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -0.373%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-20 21:48 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.89%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -8.53%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-20 21:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.98%EV -9.03%E -4.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -6.73%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.65%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.22%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.95%EV -10.08%E -3.23%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.61%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-20 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.03%E -5.57%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.21%E -3.80%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-20 00:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.04%EV -10.53%E -5.88%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -7.79%E -1.79%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -12.09%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.06%EV -11.03%E -6.20%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.72%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -12.09%E -3.97%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.96%EV -11.53%E -6.52%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.56%EV -8.85%E -2.06%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.48%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.33%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.00%EV -13.53%E -7.82%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.18%EV -10.97%E -2.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.82%EV -20.74%E -7.54%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.03%E -8.16%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.373%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-20 20:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-20 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94% | 1.6% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |