Language:English
Ceará v Avai
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ceará (Local)
Prediction 50.11%2.00fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.29%50.33%50.04%53.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.801.831.9259.88%55.47%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avai (Visit)
Prediction 21.26%4.70fair odd
EV -0.098%
Edge -0.021%
Kelly -0.027%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.61%21.12%21.27%22.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.424.404.7025.00%22.62%22.73%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.64%3.49fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.490%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.07%28.55%28.69%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.233.253.4535.71%30.92%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ceará (Local): 50.11%; Avai (Visit): 21.26%; Draw: 28.64%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.705. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.700, with an expected value of -0.098%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -3.79%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.08%EV -3.07%E -0.674%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -7.96%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.98%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.55%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 19.94%EV -0.311%E -0.066%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.50%EV -9.22%E -2.91%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -7.79%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.80%E -4.24%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.66%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.98%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.85%E -3.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -10.65%E -3.41%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.81%E -7.36%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -4.07%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.27%EV -13.31%E -7.70%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.44%EV -19.82%E -7.08%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.44%EV -14.32%E -8.37%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.15% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91% | 0.3% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |