A Escola das Odds

Ceará v Avai

Início: 2026-06-10 23:00 UTC

Final: Ceará 2–1 Avai

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ceará (Local)

Previsão 50.11%2.00odd justa
EV -3.79%
Vantagem -1.98%
Kelly -4.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.29%50.33%50.04%53.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.801.831.9259.88%55.47%54.64%52.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Avai (Visitante)

Previsão 21.26%4.70odd justa
EV -0.098%
Vantagem -0.021%
Kelly -0.027%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.61%21.12%21.27%22.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.424.404.7025.00%22.62%22.73%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.64%3.49odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.348%
Kelly -0.490%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.07%28.55%28.69%30.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.233.253.4535.71%30.92%30.77%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -3.79%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.08%EV -3.07%E -0.674%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 22:40
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 22:49
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 22:50
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -7.96%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:29
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.98%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-10 22:40
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.55%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 19.94%EV -0.311%E -0.066%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.50%EV -9.22%E -2.91%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-10 22:49
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 22:39
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 22:40
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -7.79%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 22:50
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 22:39
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 22:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 22:49
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 22:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.80%E -4.24%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-10 22:40
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 22:20
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 22:19
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.66%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-10 22:49
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 22:50
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 22:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.98%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-10 22:49
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.85%E -3.13%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -10.65%E -3.41%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-10 22:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-10 22:20
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:19
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:20
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:19
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:20
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:19
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:20
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 22:20
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.81%E -7.36%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -4.07%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-10 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.27%EV -13.31%E -7.70%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.44%EV -19.82%E -7.08%K -11.01%G +0.000%17.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 52.44%EV -14.32%E -8.37%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-10 22:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-10 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-10 22:20
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-10 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-10 22:20
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-10 22:20
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-10 22:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%0.3%2026-06-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-06-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-06-10 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%0.5%2026-06-10 22:50
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-06-10 22:40