مدرسة الاحتمالاتCeará v Avai
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Ceará (المضيف)
التنبؤ 50.11%2.00السعر العادل
EV -3.79%
الأفضلية -1.98%
Kelly -4.12%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.29%50.33%50.04%53.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.801.831.9259.88%55.47%54.64%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Avai (الضيف)
التنبؤ 21.26%4.70السعر العادل
EV -0.098%
الأفضلية -0.021%
Kelly -0.027%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.61%21.12%21.27%22.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.424.404.7025.00%22.62%22.73%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.64%3.49السعر العادل
EV -1.20%
الأفضلية -0.348%
Kelly -0.490%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.07%28.55%28.69%30.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.233.253.4535.71%30.92%30.77%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -3.79%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.08%EV -3.07%E -0.674%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -7.96%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.98%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.55%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 19.94%EV -0.311%E -0.066%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.50%EV -9.22%E -2.91%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -7.79%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.80%E -4.24%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.66%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.98%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.85%E -3.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -10.65%E -3.41%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.81%E -7.36%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -4.07%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.27%EV -13.31%E -7.70%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.44%EV -19.82%E -7.08%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.44%EV -14.32%E -8.37%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.15% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91% | 0.3% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |