L’École des cotesCeará v Avai
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 50.11%2.00cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -4.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.29%50.33%50.04%53.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.801.831.9259.88%55.47%54.64%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Avai (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.26%4.70cote équitable
EV -0.098%
Avantage -0.021%
Kelly -0.027%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.61%21.12%21.27%22.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.424.404.7025.00%22.62%22.73%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.64%3.49cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.348%
Kelly -0.490%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.07%28.55%28.69%30.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.233.253.4535.71%30.92%30.77%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -3.79%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.08%EV -3.07%E -0.674%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betway | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -7.96%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.98%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.55%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 19.94%EV -0.311%E -0.066%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.50%EV -9.22%E -2.91%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -7.79%E -2.42%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 22:39 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.13%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.80%E -4.24%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.37%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.66%E -2.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -14.98%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-10 22:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -12.85%E -3.13%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -10.65%E -3.41%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| betPARX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -11.81%E -6.71%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.098%E -0.021%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -1.20%E -0.348%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.46%EV -12.81%E -7.36%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -4.35%E -0.967%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -4.07%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.27%EV -13.31%E -7.70%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -10.73%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.44%EV -19.82%E -7.08%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-06-10 22:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.44%EV -14.32%E -8.37%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.22%E -0.483%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.37%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -6.48%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -14.82%E -8.72%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.42%EV -7.54%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-10 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.35%EV -16.32%E -9.77%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.33%EV -8.60%E -2.00%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -8.36%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-06-10 22:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.15% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91% | 0.3% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-06-10 22:40 |