Language:English
Botafogo-SP v Goiás
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo-SP (Local)
Prediction 39.15%2.55fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.41%39.23%39.16%41.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.84%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goiás (Visit)
Prediction 28.08%3.56fair odd
EV -0.036%
Edge -0.010%
Kelly -0.014%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%28.00%28.02%29.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.243.253.5632.26%30.83%30.77%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.77%3.05fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.565%
Kelly -0.847%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.09%32.78%32.82%33.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.822.803.0037.04%35.42%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo-SP (Local): 39.15%; Goiás (Visit): 28.08%; Draw: 32.77%. For Goiás (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.561. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.560, with an expected value of -0.036%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -0.036%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.53%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -5.95%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.67%EV -6.43%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.73%EV -10.21%E -3.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 22:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.71%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.38%EV -9.56%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.53%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.78%E -3.77%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.41%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.89%EV -8.90%E -3.20%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.41%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.89%EV -8.90%E -3.20%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -11.55%E -3.67%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.55%E -3.67%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -12.39%E -3.97%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 22:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -12.39%E -3.97%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 22:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -12.69%E -5.69%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -12.69%E -5.69%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -15.82%E -7.36%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -1.72%E -0.492%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.45% | 0.3% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.01% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |