Langue:Français
Botafogo-SP v Goiás
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo-SP (Local)
Prévision 39.15%2.55cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -2.81%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.41%39.23%39.16%41.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.84%43.10%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Goiás (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.08%3.56cote équitable
EV -0.036%
Avantage -0.010%
Kelly -0.014%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%28.00%28.02%29.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.243.253.5632.26%30.83%30.77%28.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 32.77%3.05cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.565%
Kelly -0.847%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.09%32.78%32.82%33.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.822.803.0037.04%35.42%35.71%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Botafogo-SP (Local) : 39.15% ; Goiás (Visiteur) : 28.08% ; Match nul : 32.77%. Pour Goiás (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.561. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.560, pour une espérance de -0.036% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -0.036%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.53%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -5.95%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.67%EV -6.43%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.73%EV -10.21%E -3.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 22:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.71%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.38%EV -9.56%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.53%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.78%E -3.77%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.41%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.89%EV -8.90%E -3.20%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.41%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.89%EV -8.90%E -3.20%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -11.55%E -3.67%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.55%E -3.67%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -12.39%E -3.97%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 22:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -12.39%E -3.97%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 22:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -12.69%E -5.69%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -12.69%E -5.69%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -15.82%E -7.36%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -1.72%E -0.492%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.45% | 0.3% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.01% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |