Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Botafogo-SP v Goiás

Inizio: 2026-09-14 22:30 UTC

Finale: Botafogo-SP 1–3 Goiás

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Botafogo-SP (Casa)

Previsione 39.15%2.55quota equa
EV -4.08%
Vantaggio -1.66%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.41%39.23%39.16%41.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.84%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Goiás (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.08%3.56quota equa
EV -0.036%
Vantaggio -0.010%
Kelly -0.014%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.79%28.00%28.02%29.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.243.253.5632.26%30.83%30.77%28.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 32.77%3.05quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -0.565%
Kelly -0.847%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.09%32.78%32.82%33.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.822.803.0037.04%35.42%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Botafogo-SP (Casa): 39.15%; Goiás (Trasferta): 28.08%; Pareggio: 32.77%. Per Goiás (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.561. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.560, con un valore atteso del -0.036%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -0.036%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 22:15
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 22:20
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 22:25
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 22:25
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.53%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 22:20
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -5.95%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 22:25
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 22:20
Bovada🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.67%EV -6.43%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.73%EV -10.21%E -3.73%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 22:18
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.71%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.38%EV -9.56%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 22:20
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.53%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 22:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-14 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 22:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.78%E -3.77%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 22:20
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 22:25
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 22:25
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 22:25
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.41%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.89%EV -8.90%E -3.20%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 22:20
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.41%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.89%EV -8.90%E -3.20%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 22:20
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 22:20
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -11.55%E -3.67%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 22:15
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 22:15
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.55%E -3.67%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 22:25
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -12.39%E -3.97%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 22:08
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -12.39%E -3.97%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-14 22:08
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-14 22:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 22:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 22:20
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-14 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 22:15
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 22:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -12.69%E -5.69%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 22:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -12.69%E -5.69%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-14 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -15.82%E -7.36%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -1.72%E -0.492%K -0.688%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.45%0.3%2026-09-14 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%0.6%2026-09-14 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%0.6%2026-09-14 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34%0.6%2026-09-14 22:10
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.01%1.7%2026-09-14 22:25