Idioma:Español
Botafogo-SP v Goiás
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Botafogo-SP (Local)
Predicción 39.15%2.55momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -2.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.41%39.23%39.16%41.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.322.4546.51%42.84%43.10%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Goiás (Visitante)
Predicción 28.08%3.56momio equitativo
EV -0.036%
Ventaja -0.010%
Kelly -0.014%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%28.00%28.02%29.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.243.253.5632.26%30.83%30.77%28.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.77%3.05momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.565%
Kelly -0.847%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.09%32.78%32.82%33.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.822.803.0037.04%35.42%35.71%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Botafogo-SP (Local): 39.15%; Goiás (Visitante): 28.08%; Empate: 32.77%. Para Goiás (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.561. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.560, con un valor esperado de -0.036%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.25%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -0.036%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -4.08%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.53%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -5.95%E -2.07%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.67%EV -6.43%E -2.69%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.73%EV -10.21%E -3.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-14 22:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.71%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.38%EV -9.56%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -3.13%E -0.906%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.53%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.78%E -3.77%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.74%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -1.69%E -0.565%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.41%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.89%EV -8.90%E -3.20%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.41%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.89%EV -8.90%E -3.20%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -11.55%E -3.67%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -4.97%E -1.71%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.34%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -11.55%E -3.67%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -12.39%E -3.97%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 22:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.81%EV -12.39%E -3.97%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-14 22:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.53%E -4.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.89%E -3.60%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-14 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 22:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -12.69%E -5.69%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -12.69%E -5.69%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.95%E -4.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -6.61%E -2.32%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -15.82%E -7.36%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -1.72%E -0.492%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -8.25%E -2.95%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.45% | 0.3% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-09-14 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.01% | 1.7% | 2026-09-14 22:25 |