Język:Polski
Avai v Vila Nova
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Avai (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 37.27%2.68kurs godziwy
EV -4.23%
Przewaga -1.64%
Kelly -2.69%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.57
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.41%37.13%37.28%38.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.382.462.502.5742.02%40.57%40.00%38.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Vila Nova (Goście)
Prognoza 31.63%3.16kurs godziwy
EV -1.94%
Przewaga -0.627%
Kelly -0.925%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.11%31.72%31.58%33.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.892.903.1037.04%34.60%34.48%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 31.10%3.22kurs godziwy
EV -3.58%
Przewaga -1.16%
Kelly -1.71%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.15%31.14%31.14%32.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.802.942.943.1035.71%33.96%34.01%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Avai (Gospodarze): 37.27%; Vila Nova (Goście): 31.63%; Remis: 31.10%. Dla wyniku Vila Nova (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.16. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.10, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.94%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -1.94%E -0.627%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.47%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.59%E -5.41%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.09%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.09%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.09%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 00:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.94%E -0.627%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.94%E -0.627%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%EV -7.95%E -3.22%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.45%EV -8.87%E -3.03%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.98%EV -4.47%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.98%EV -6.07%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.40%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.30%EV -7.00%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.30%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.28%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 00:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-15 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 00:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-15 00:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32% | 1.4% | 2026-09-15 00:10 |