Lingua:Italiano
Avai v Vila Nova
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Avai (Casa)
Previsione 37.27%2.68quota equa
EV -4.23%
Vantaggio -1.64%
Kelly -2.69%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.41%37.13%37.28%38.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.462.502.5742.02%40.57%40.00%38.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Vila Nova (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.63%3.16quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -0.627%
Kelly -0.925%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.11%31.72%31.58%33.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.892.903.1037.04%34.60%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 31.10%3.22quota equa
EV -3.58%
Vantaggio -1.16%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.15%31.14%31.14%32.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.942.943.1035.71%33.96%34.01%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Avai (Casa): 37.27%; Vila Nova (Trasferta): 31.63%; Pareggio: 31.10%. Per Vila Nova (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.16. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.10, con un valore atteso del -1.94%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -1.94%E -0.627%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.47%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.59%E -5.41%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.09%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.09%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.09%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 00:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.94%E -0.627%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.94%E -0.627%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%EV -7.95%E -3.22%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.45%EV -8.87%E -3.03%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.98%EV -4.47%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.98%EV -6.07%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.40%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.30%EV -7.00%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.30%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.28%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 00:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 00:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-15 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-15 00:25 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 00:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-15 00:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32% | 1.4% | 2026-09-15 00:10 |