StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Avai v Vila Nova

Aanvang: 2026-09-15 00:30 UTC

Eindstand: Avai 1–1 Vila Nova

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

47 wedaanbieders (17 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Avai (Thuis)

Prognose 37.27%2.68margevrije odds
EV -4.23%
Voordeel -1.64%
Kelly -2.69%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.57

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
35.41%37.13%37.28%38.04%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.382.462.502.5742.02%40.57%40.00%38.91%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Vila Nova (Uit)

Prognose 31.63%3.16margevrije odds
EV -1.94%
Voordeel -0.627%
Kelly -0.925%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.10

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
30.11%31.72%31.58%33.45%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.702.892.903.1037.04%34.60%34.48%32.26%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 31.10%3.22margevrije odds
EV -3.58%
Voordeel -1.16%
Kelly -1.71%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.10

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
30.15%31.14%31.14%32.31%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.802.942.943.1035.71%33.96%34.01%32.26%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Avai (Thuis): 37.27%; Vila Nova (Uit): 31.63%; Gelijkspel: 31.10%. Voor Vila Nova (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 3.16. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau: de beste waren 3.10, met een verwachtingswaarde van -1.94%; ze leverden geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (47 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitGelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.06%EV -1.94%E -0.627%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.47%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 00:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -4.97%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -14.59%E -5.41%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.09%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.09%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 00:20
BetUS🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.09%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 00:19
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 00:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 00:26
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.94%E -0.627%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 00:25
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -1.94%E -0.627%K -0.925%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 00:05
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 00:26
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 00:26
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 00:26
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 00:05
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 00:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 00:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 00:00
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.83%E -2.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 00:05
Bovada🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.31%EV -7.95%E -3.22%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.45%EV -8.87%E -3.03%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 00:14
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.98%EV -4.47%E -1.48%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.98%EV -6.07%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 00:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.40%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.30%EV -7.00%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.30%EV -8.56%E -2.91%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 00:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.28%EV -8.32%E -3.38%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.09%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 00:16
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 00:15
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 00:15
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-15 00:05
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-15 00:05
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.70%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 00:05
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:20
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 00:25
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 00:26
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 00:05
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 00:05
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.56%E -4.40%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 00:05
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-15 00:04
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -11.31%E -4.75%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -13.01%E -4.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 00:25
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-09-15 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-09-15 00:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-09-15 00:15
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-09-15 00:16
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%1.4%2026-09-15 00:10