Language:English
Avai v Operario PR
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avai (Local)
Prediction 37.78%2.65fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.982%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.90%37.93%37.68%39.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.412.402.5843.86%41.49%41.67%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Operario PR (Visit)
Prediction 31.93%3.13fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.325%
Kelly -0.480%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.07%31.77%32.05%32.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.922.903.1038.02%34.23%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.29%3.30fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.670%
Kelly -0.971%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.96%30.30%30.27%31.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.043.003.2336.36%32.91%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avai (Local): 37.78%; Operario PR (Visit): 31.93%; Draw: 30.29%. For Operario PR (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.53%E -0.982%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.53%E -0.982%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.93%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.59%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.49%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.80%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.80%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 18:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.31%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -6.44%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -9.43%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.34%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -2.16%E -0.670%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.67%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 18:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.67%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.20%E -3.37%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.77%E -4.43%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -16.02%E -6.09%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -16.70%E -6.07%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-05 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.47%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 18:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.47%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.22%E -4.78%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.22%E -4.78%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -12.36%E -5.33%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.65%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00% | 2.4% | 2026-04-05 18:45 |