A Escola das Odds

Avai v Operario PR

Início: 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Avai (Local)

Previsão 37.78%2.65odd justa
EV -2.53%
Vantagem -0.982%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.90%37.93%37.68%39.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.282.412.402.5843.86%41.49%41.67%38.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Operario PR (Visitante)

Previsão 31.93%3.13odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.325%
Kelly -0.480%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.07%31.77%32.05%32.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.922.903.1038.02%34.23%34.48%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.29%3.30odd justa
EV -2.16%
Vantagem -0.670%
Kelly -0.971%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.96%30.30%30.27%31.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.043.003.2336.36%32.91%33.33%30.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.53%E -0.982%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:44
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.53%E -0.982%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:45
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 37.93%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.59%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.49%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.80%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 18:55
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.80%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:44
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 18:34
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:35
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.31%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -6.44%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -9.43%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:50
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 18:49
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 18:49
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.34%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -2.16%E -0.670%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 18:50
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 37.67%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 18:43
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 37.67%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 18:44
Codere (IT)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.20%E -3.37%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 18:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 18:45
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 18:45
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 18:40
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 18:10
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 18:54
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.77%E -4.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -16.02%E -6.09%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -16.70%E -6.07%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-05 18:24
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:45
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:45
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:45
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:49
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:45
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:45
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:10
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.47%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 18:14
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.47%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 18:10
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.22%E -4.78%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:45
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.22%E -4.78%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 18:44
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -12.36%E -5.33%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.65%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 18:50
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 18:40
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 18:49
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 18:45
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-05 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-05 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-05 18:45
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%2.4%2026-04-05 18:45