L’École des cotes

Avai v Operario PR

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Avai (Local)

Prévision 37.78%2.65cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -0.982%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.90%37.93%37.68%39.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.412.402.5843.86%41.49%41.67%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Operario PR (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.93%3.13cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.325%
Kelly -0.480%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.07%31.77%32.05%32.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.922.903.1038.02%34.23%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.29%3.30cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.670%
Kelly -0.971%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.96%30.30%30.27%31.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.043.003.2336.36%32.91%33.33%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.53%E -0.982%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:44
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 37.33%EV -2.53%E -0.982%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.57%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:45
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 37.93%EV -4.05%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.59%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.49%EV -4.29%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.80%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 18:55
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.80%E -1.97%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:44
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 18:34
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:39
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.56%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 18:35
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.31%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -6.44%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -9.43%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 18:50
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 18:49
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -7.45%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 18:49
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.34%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.71%EV -8.67%E -3.03%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.96%EV -2.16%E -0.670%K -0.971%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 18:50
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 37.67%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 18:43
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 37.67%EV -7.82%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 18:44
Codere (IT)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.20%E -3.37%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 18:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 18:45
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 18:45
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -8.99%E -3.15%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 18:40
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 18:10
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 18:54
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -8.03%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.77%E -4.43%K -6.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -16.02%E -6.09%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -16.70%E -6.07%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-05 18:24
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:45
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:45
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:45
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:49
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:45
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:45
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:10
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.09%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.47%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 18:14
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.47%E -4.42%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 18:10
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.22%E -4.78%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -1.01%E -0.325%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 18:45
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -11.22%E -4.78%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.39%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 18:44
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -12.36%E -5.33%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -2.60%E -0.854%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.65%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 18:50
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.11%E -5.70%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.59%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 18:40
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 39.88%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 18:49
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 18:45
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -13.87%E -6.08%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.20%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-04-05 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-05 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-05 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-04-05 18:45
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%2.4%2026-04-05 18:45